⚽ Free tips Updated daily
🟥 Cards & corners
I'm Marcus Campbell, and for the past two years I've been writing about football betting with goal markets as my main focus. My route in wasn't unusual. I watched a lot of football, kept a notebook of my own bets, and after a while noticed I was drawn to certain patterns more than others. Goals kept pulling me back, particularly the question of how often both teams end up on the scoresheet. BTTS is where most of my writing lives, mainly because it tends to reward people who do the homework rather than chase a hunch. I look at things like defensive shape, what full-backs are doing in build-up, how a side reacts when they're behind, who's between the sticks and how sharp they've been, and whether a team is running on fumes from a packed schedule. I'm not pretending I've cracked it. There are weekends when everything I expected goes out the window in the first twenty minutes, and that comes with the territory. What I try to do is show my working, so readers can weigh it up on their own terms. I write for Fixed Matches Free, and the idea is simple: give honest, thought-through takes on BTTS without overselling them. They're opinions, not certainties. Use them as a place to start, not a shortcut.
With the home side priced 1.30-1.39, both teams scored in 49.8% of 3,932 matches against 47.6% implied. Fair BTTS Yes odds work out at 2.01.
Read article →
Home sides priced 1.20-1.29 saw BTTS No land 54.0% of the time across 3,436 matches, with the favourite scoring alone in 88.0% of those games.
Read article →
When the home side is priced under 1.20, both teams scored in 43.4% of 2,586 matches, exactly what the prices implied. Fair BTTS Yes odds: 2.30.
Read article →
Learn how to assess BTTS probability by judging each team's route to goal, tactical matchup, game state, team news and market price.
Read article →
Learn a repeatable BTTS analysis framework using scoring routes, defensive matchups, game state, team news and probability before judging the odds.
Read article →Meet our full editorial team covering specialist betting markets.
View All Authors →